{
  "meta": {
    "name": "Golden Retriever lifespan evidence explorer",
    "canonical_owner": "https://pawcosts.com/dogs/breed/golden-retriever/",
    "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
    "ledger_rows": 21,
    "demand_label": "Observed US demand: >1000 monthly bin (not a traffic forecast).",
    "scope": "Population evidence selection; no individual prediction or medical advice."
  },
  "csv_fields": [
    "fact_id",
    "source_class",
    "source_title",
    "publication_date",
    "checked_date",
    "checked_url",
    "population_geography",
    "study_design",
    "study_population",
    "sample_size",
    "deaths_or_events",
    "censoring_or_followup",
    "measure_or_evidence",
    "sex_or_subgroup",
    "fact_value",
    "safe_page_use",
    "cannot_support",
    "material_limitations"
  ],
  "facts": [
    {
      "fact_id": "MCM2024-GR",
      "source_class": "primary_cohort",
      "source_title": "Longevity of companion dog breeds: those at risk from early death",
      "publication_date": "2024-02-01",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-50458-w",
      "population_geography": "United Kingdom",
      "study_design": "Retrospective survival analysis across multiple dog-data sources",
      "study_population": "Golden Retrievers in the mapped UK companion-dog dataset",
      "sample_size": "15758",
      "deaths_or_events": "4252 deaths; 11506 alive/censored",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Dogs alive at study completion were censored; Kaplan-Meier methods retained censored observations",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Kaplan-Meier median survival",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "Golden Retriever",
      "fact_value": "13.2 years; 95% CI 13.1-13.2",
      "safe_page_use": "Lead breed answer when labeled UK cohort median survival with denominator, deaths, CI and censoring",
      "cannot_support": "Mean lifespan; life expectancy at birth; remaining years for an individual; US population value",
      "material_limitations": "UK data are not universal; breed association is not individual prognosis; late estimates weaken as the risk set shrinks; no measured healthspan"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "MCM2024-SEX-F",
      "source_class": "primary_cohort",
      "source_title": "Longevity of companion dog breeds: those at risk from early death",
      "publication_date": "2024-02-01",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-50458-w",
      "population_geography": "United Kingdom",
      "study_design": "Retrospective survival analysis across all breeds/lineages",
      "study_population": "Female dogs across all included breeds and lineages",
      "sample_size": "283984",
      "deaths_or_events": "136910 deaths",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Alive dogs censored; Kaplan-Meier analysis",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Kaplan-Meier median survival",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "All females; not Golden-specific",
      "fact_value": "12.7 years; 95% CI 12.6-12.7",
      "safe_page_use": "Pooled context only, clearly separated from Golden-specific evidence",
      "cannot_support": "Golden Retriever female lifespan; a breed-specific female advantage",
      "material_limitations": "Pooling crosses breed, size, lineage and conformation; not a Golden-by-sex analysis"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "MCM2024-SEX-M",
      "source_class": "primary_cohort",
      "source_title": "Longevity of companion dog breeds: those at risk from early death",
      "publication_date": "2024-02-01",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-50458-w",
      "population_geography": "United Kingdom",
      "study_design": "Retrospective survival analysis across all breeds/lineages",
      "study_population": "Male dogs across all included breeds and lineages",
      "sample_size": "300750",
      "deaths_or_events": "147824 deaths",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Alive dogs censored; Kaplan-Meier analysis",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Kaplan-Meier median survival and hazard ratio versus females",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "All males; not Golden-specific",
      "fact_value": "12.4 years; 95% CI 12.4-12.4; HR 1.06 (95% CI 1.06-1.07)",
      "safe_page_use": "Pooled context only, clearly separated from Golden-specific evidence",
      "cannot_support": "Golden Retriever males live 0.3 years less than females",
      "material_limitations": "Pooling crosses breed, size, lineage and conformation; not a Golden-by-sex analysis"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "MCM2024-METHOD",
      "source_class": "primary_cohort",
      "source_title": "Longevity of companion dog breeds: those at risk from early death",
      "publication_date": "2024-02-01",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10834484/",
      "population_geography": "United Kingdom",
      "study_design": "Kaplan-Meier survival curves, log-rank comparisons and Cox proportional hazards",
      "study_population": "All dogs in the analysis",
      "sample_size": "584734",
      "deaths_or_events": "284734 deaths",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Large alive population produced censoring; authors note later estimates become less reliable as the at-risk set declines",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Median used instead of mean because the longevity distributions were non-normal and extreme values can destabilize means",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "All",
      "fact_value": "Metric definition",
      "safe_page_use": "Explain why 13.2 is a median survival estimate and why censoring matters",
      "cannot_support": "Calling 13.2 an average or life expectancy at birth",
      "material_limitations": "Multiple-source data quality and unavailable neuter status; observational associations"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "SALT2019-GR-DESIGN",
      "source_class": "primary_cohort",
      "source_title": "Association between life span and body condition in neutered client-owned dogs",
      "publication_date": "2018-12-11",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6335446/",
      "population_geography": "North America; approximately 900 veterinary hospitals, predominantly United States",
      "study_design": "Retrospective matched observational survival study",
      "study_population": "Neutered Golden Retrievers with middle-age records and evidence of survival to at least 9.5 years",
      "sample_size": "4560",
      "deaths_or_events": "1933 recorded deaths",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Dogs without a recorded death were right-censored at their last recorded encounter",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Cox-model median lifespan conditional on sex and study body-condition category",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "Golden Retriever",
      "fact_value": "2166 males (940 deaths); 2394 females (993 deaths)",
      "safe_page_use": "A labeled conditional evidence panel with design shown before values",
      "cannot_support": "Typical Golden Retriever lifespan; intact-dog estimate; causal effect of body condition",
      "material_limitations": "Survivor/landmark selection; all neutered; owner-reported breed/birth date; retrospective records; euthanasia and unrecorded death reasons; model estimates are not population life expectancy"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "SALT2019-GR-M-NORMAL",
      "source_class": "primary_cohort",
      "source_title": "Association between life span and body condition in neutered client-owned dogs",
      "publication_date": "2018-12-11",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6335446/",
      "population_geography": "North America; predominantly United States",
      "study_design": "Retrospective matched observational survival study",
      "study_population": "Male neutered Golden Retrievers classified normal in middle age and surviving to at least 9.5 years",
      "sample_size": "407",
      "deaths_or_events": "117 recorded deaths",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Right-censored at last contact if no death date",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Modeled median lifespan; 99.79% CI",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "Male; study-normal category",
      "fact_value": "13.3 years; 99.79% CI 13.0-13.6",
      "safe_page_use": "Source-scoped conditional comparator only",
      "cannot_support": "Generic male Golden Retriever lifespan",
      "material_limitations": "Highly selected subgroup and reference conditions; not an unconditional male estimate"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "SALT2019-GR-M-OVER",
      "source_class": "primary_cohort",
      "source_title": "Association between life span and body condition in neutered client-owned dogs",
      "publication_date": "2018-12-11",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6335446/",
      "population_geography": "North America; predominantly United States",
      "study_design": "Retrospective matched observational survival study",
      "study_population": "Male neutered Golden Retrievers classified heavy at every relevant middle-age visit and surviving to at least 9.5 years",
      "sample_size": "1759",
      "deaths_or_events": "823 recorded deaths",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Right-censored at last contact if no death date",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Modeled median lifespan; 99.79% CI",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "Male; study-overweight category",
      "fact_value": "12.5 years; 99.79% CI 12.4-12.7",
      "safe_page_use": "Source-scoped conditional comparator only",
      "cannot_support": "Weight change causes a 0.8-year lifespan change; generic male lifespan",
      "material_limitations": "Observational association; no diet/energy/disease adjustment; highly selected subgroup"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "SALT2019-GR-F-NORMAL",
      "source_class": "primary_cohort",
      "source_title": "Association between life span and body condition in neutered client-owned dogs",
      "publication_date": "2018-12-11",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6335446/",
      "population_geography": "North America; predominantly United States",
      "study_design": "Retrospective matched observational survival study",
      "study_population": "Female spayed Golden Retrievers classified normal in middle age and surviving to at least 9.5 years",
      "sample_size": "469",
      "deaths_or_events": "125 recorded deaths",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Right-censored at last contact if no death date",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Modeled median lifespan; 99.79% CI",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "Female; study-normal category",
      "fact_value": "13.5 years; 99.79% CI 13.1-13.8",
      "safe_page_use": "Source-scoped conditional comparator only",
      "cannot_support": "Generic female Golden Retriever lifespan",
      "material_limitations": "Highly selected subgroup and reference conditions; not an unconditional female estimate"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "SALT2019-GR-F-OVER",
      "source_class": "primary_cohort",
      "source_title": "Association between life span and body condition in neutered client-owned dogs",
      "publication_date": "2018-12-11",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6335446/",
      "population_geography": "North America; predominantly United States",
      "study_design": "Retrospective matched observational survival study",
      "study_population": "Female spayed Golden Retrievers classified heavy at every relevant middle-age visit and surviving to at least 9.5 years",
      "sample_size": "1925",
      "deaths_or_events": "868 recorded deaths",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Right-censored at last contact if no death date",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Modeled median lifespan; 99.79% CI",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "Female; study-overweight category",
      "fact_value": "12.7 years; 99.79% CI 12.6-12.9",
      "safe_page_use": "Source-scoped conditional comparator only",
      "cannot_support": "Weight change causes a 0.8-year lifespan change; generic female lifespan",
      "material_limitations": "Observational association; no diet/energy/disease adjustment; highly selected subgroup"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "GRLS2022-PROFILE",
      "source_class": "primary_prospective_cohort",
      "source_title": "Cohort profile: The Golden Retriever Lifetime Study (GRLS)",
      "publication_date": "2022-06-09",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9182714/",
      "population_geography": "Contiguous United States",
      "study_design": "Prospective longitudinal cohort",
      "study_population": "Purebred Golden Retrievers enrolled at 6 months to 2 years from June 2012 to April 2015",
      "sample_size": "3044",
      "deaths_or_events": "As of 2021-05-31: 352 deaths",
      "censoring_or_followup": "As of 2021-05-31: 2251 alive/engaged and 441 lost to follow-up; annual owner/veterinarian questionnaires and exams",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Cohort design and follow-up status",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "Both sexes",
      "fact_value": "86% retained including living and deceased participants at the stated cutoff",
      "safe_page_use": "Population/healthspan context and transparent explanation of why an ongoing cohort cannot yet supply a final typical lifespan",
      "cannot_support": "Final US median lifespan; individual prediction",
      "material_limitations": "Volunteer/committed-owner selection; annual recall burden; changing products and methods; loss to follow-up; cohort was still maturing at publication"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "GRLS2017-BASELINE",
      "source_class": "primary_prospective_cohort",
      "source_title": "Population characteristics of golden retriever lifetime study enrollees",
      "publication_date": "2017-11-15",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5688750/",
      "population_geography": "Contiguous United States",
      "study_design": "Baseline description of a prospective cohort",
      "study_population": "Golden Retrievers enrolled early in life with at least two known pedigree generations",
      "sample_size": "3044",
      "deaths_or_events": "Baseline paper; 51 deaths at manuscript submission, not a longevity endpoint",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Median enrollment age 14.0 months; ongoing annual follow-up",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Baseline cohort composition by sex and neuter status",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "All enrolled dogs; sex and neuter-status groups",
      "fact_value": "Intact male 1024; neutered male 516; intact female 866; spayed female 638",
      "safe_page_use": "Show cohort composition only",
      "cannot_support": "Sex-specific lifespan or a representative US breed lifespan",
      "material_limitations": "Healthy young cohort cared for by committed volunteer owners; baseline data do not estimate longevity"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "GRLS2025-SEX",
      "source_class": "primary_prospective_cohort_analysis",
      "source_title": "Lifetime age-related changes in clinical laboratory results, aging clocks and mortality predictors in 2412 Golden Retrievers",
      "publication_date": "2025-01-24",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11984677/",
      "population_geography": "United States",
      "study_design": "Longitudinal GRLS analysis with Cox mortality models",
      "study_population": "Neutered Golden Retrievers with repeated clinical laboratory data, followed 2012-06-01 to 2023-04-01",
      "sample_size": "2412",
      "deaths_or_events": "775 deaths (33%)",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Lost/withdrawn dogs right-censored; median 8 visits and median 7 years follow-up",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Directional sex association in mortality analysis",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "1117 male; 1295 female",
      "fact_value": "Females lived longer on average than males; p=0.002; no years effect reported in the main result",
      "safe_page_use": "Breed-specific evidence that a sex association was observed, with no invented effect size",
      "cannot_support": "A male or female lifespan in years; a universal sex gap; individual mortality score",
      "material_limitations": "Neutered-only subset; external validation needed; mortality model is not an owner-facing prognosis and the paper does not publish a general sex-specific median"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "GRLS2025-HEALTHSPAN",
      "source_class": "primary_prospective_cohort_analysis",
      "source_title": "Lifetime age-related changes in clinical laboratory results, aging clocks and mortality predictors in 2412 Golden Retrievers",
      "publication_date": "2025-01-24",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11984677/",
      "population_geography": "United States",
      "study_design": "Longitudinal repeated-measures cohort analysis",
      "study_population": "Neutered Golden Retrievers with 16678 visits",
      "sample_size": "2412",
      "deaths_or_events": "775 deaths (33%)",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Lost/withdrawn dogs right-censored",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Age-related laboratory change and mortality-model performance",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "All included dogs",
      "fact_value": "Biological-age clock R=0.78; it did not improve mortality prediction; external validation was recommended",
      "safe_page_use": "Explain that aging research is not the same as measured healthy-life duration",
      "cannot_support": "Healthy-life years; an owner-facing aging score; clinical prediction or treatment advice",
      "material_limitations": "One breed, selected lab-data subset, no external cohort validation; model performance does not establish healthspan"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "TENG2022-METRIC",
      "source_class": "primary_cohort",
      "source_title": "Life tables of annual life expectancy and mortality for companion dogs in the United Kingdom",
      "publication_date": "2022-04-28",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9050668/",
      "population_geography": "United Kingdom",
      "study_design": "Hypothetical cohort life tables from VetCompass death records",
      "study_population": "Dogs dying from 2016-01-01 to 2020-07-31",
      "sample_size": "30563",
      "deaths_or_events": "30563 deaths in the analytic dataset",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Death-record cohort; bootstrapped life-table confidence intervals",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Life expectancy at age 0 equals mean age at death across all ages in this life-table method",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "All dogs; sex tables; 18 common breeds",
      "fact_value": "Overall life expectancy at birth 11.23 years; 95% CI 11.19-11.27",
      "safe_page_use": "Explain that life-table mean life expectancy and Kaplan-Meier median survival are different estimands",
      "cannot_support": "A Golden Retriever life-table value",
      "material_limitations": "Golden Retriever was not one of the 18 breed-specific life tables; cross-sectional hypothetical cohort assumptions and practice-population coverage limit transfer"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "GRCA-CREAM",
      "source_class": "authoritative_breed_source",
      "source_title": "English Cream Golden Retrievers",
      "publication_date": "not stated",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://grca.org/about-the-breed/articles/english-cream-golden-retrievers/",
      "population_geography": "Breed definition; United States parent club context",
      "study_design": "Breed-club position based on recognized Golden Retriever standards",
      "study_population": "Golden Retrievers across coat shades",
      "sample_size": "not applicable",
      "deaths_or_events": "not applicable",
      "censoring_or_followup": "not applicable",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Breed identity and coat-color terminology",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "Cream/light Golden Retriever",
      "fact_value": "Cream is within the Golden Retriever color spectrum; English Cream is not a separate breed; the club rejects superior health/longevity claims based on color",
      "safe_page_use": "Answer the modifier by explaining the evidence status and shared breed identity",
      "cannot_support": "English cream Goldens live longer, are healthier, or form a distinct longevity population",
      "material_limitations": "Authoritative breed terminology, not a longevity cohort; supports no numerical lifespan estimate"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "MAF2026-STATUS",
      "source_class": "authoritative_cohort_owner",
      "source_title": "Golden Retriever Lifetime Study",
      "publication_date": "2026-04-23 update linked from study owner",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "https://www.morrisanimalfoundation.org/study/golden-retriever-lifetime-study",
      "population_geography": "United States",
      "study_design": "Official study-owner status page",
      "study_population": "Golden Retriever Lifetime Study cohort",
      "sample_size": "more than 3000; peer-reviewed enrollment denominator is 3044",
      "deaths_or_events": "not stated on this status page",
      "censoring_or_followup": "Annual longitudinal health data; the status page does not report censoring or loss to follow-up",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Ongoing cohort status and research scope",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "All enrolled dogs",
      "fact_value": "Study status is Active; fully enrolled in 2015",
      "safe_page_use": "Freshness/status context only, paired with peer-reviewed denominators",
      "cannot_support": "A finalized US lifespan, healthspan duration, or intervention result",
      "material_limitations": "Official overview is not a substitute for methods/results papers"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "AHREFS-US-HEAD",
      "source_class": "accepted_demand_bin",
      "source_title": "Ahrefs free keyword measurement intake",
      "publication_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "Private measurement record; not publicly distributed",
      "population_geography": "United States search database",
      "study_design": "Accepted keyword-demand evidence",
      "study_population": "Query: golden retriever lifespan",
      "sample_size": "keyword family 75",
      "deaths_or_events": "not applicable",
      "censoring_or_followup": "not applicable",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Ahrefs display bin",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "Head query",
      "fact_value": ">1000",
      "safe_page_use": "Prioritize the existing canonical owner",
      "cannot_support": "Exact monthly volume, traffic or revenue forecast",
      "material_limitations": "Display bin only; not an exact count or forecast"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "AHREFS-US-AVG",
      "source_class": "accepted_demand_bin",
      "source_title": "Ahrefs free keyword measurement intake",
      "publication_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "Private measurement record; not publicly distributed",
      "population_geography": "United States search database",
      "study_design": "Accepted keyword-demand evidence",
      "study_population": "Query: average golden retriever lifespan",
      "sample_size": "not applicable",
      "deaths_or_events": "not applicable",
      "censoring_or_followup": "not applicable",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Ahrefs display bin",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "Average modifier",
      "fact_value": ">100",
      "safe_page_use": "Cover as metric-language clarification on the owner",
      "cannot_support": "Exact monthly volume, traffic or revenue forecast",
      "material_limitations": "Display bin only; page should not relabel a median as an average"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "AHREFS-US-MALE",
      "source_class": "accepted_demand_bin",
      "source_title": "Ahrefs free keyword measurement intake",
      "publication_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "Private measurement record; not publicly distributed",
      "population_geography": "United States search database",
      "study_design": "Accepted keyword-demand evidence",
      "study_population": "Query: golden retriever lifespan male",
      "sample_size": "not applicable",
      "deaths_or_events": "not applicable",
      "censoring_or_followup": "not applicable",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Ahrefs display bin",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "Male modifier",
      "fact_value": ">100",
      "safe_page_use": "Add a controlled evidence section/anchor on the existing owner",
      "cannot_support": "Exact monthly volume, traffic or revenue forecast; a new modifier page",
      "material_limitations": "Display bin only; scientific evidence does not support an unconditional male lifespan answer"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "AHREFS-US-FEMALE",
      "source_class": "accepted_demand_bin",
      "source_title": "Ahrefs free keyword measurement intake",
      "publication_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "Private measurement record; not publicly distributed",
      "population_geography": "United States search database",
      "study_design": "Accepted keyword-demand evidence",
      "study_population": "Query: golden retriever lifespan female",
      "sample_size": "not applicable",
      "deaths_or_events": "not applicable",
      "censoring_or_followup": "not applicable",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Ahrefs display bin",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "Female modifier",
      "fact_value": ">100",
      "safe_page_use": "Add a controlled evidence section/anchor on the existing owner",
      "cannot_support": "Exact monthly volume, traffic or revenue forecast; a new modifier page",
      "material_limitations": "Display bin only; scientific evidence does not support an unconditional female lifespan answer"
    },
    {
      "fact_id": "AHREFS-US-CREAM",
      "source_class": "accepted_demand_bin",
      "source_title": "Ahrefs free keyword measurement intake",
      "publication_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_date": "2026-08-29",
      "checked_url": "Private measurement record; not publicly distributed",
      "population_geography": "United States search database",
      "study_design": "Accepted keyword-demand evidence",
      "study_population": "Query: english cream golden retriever lifespan",
      "sample_size": "not applicable",
      "deaths_or_events": "not applicable",
      "censoring_or_followup": "not applicable",
      "measure_or_evidence": "Ahrefs display bin",
      "sex_or_subgroup": "English cream modifier",
      "fact_value": ">100",
      "safe_page_use": "Add an evidence-status section/anchor on the existing owner",
      "cannot_support": "Exact monthly volume, traffic or revenue forecast; a new coat-color page",
      "material_limitations": "Display bin only; no separate longevity cohort was found"
    }
  ],
  "cards": [
    {
      "id": "uk-breed",
      "topics": "uk metric",
      "geography": "uk",
      "selection": "direct",
      "eyebrow": "Direct breed estimate",
      "title": "UK Golden Retriever survival cohort",
      "value": "13.2 years",
      "metric": "Kaplan-Meier median survival; 95% CI 13.1-13.2",
      "population": "Golden Retrievers in a UK companion-dog dataset",
      "denominator": "15,758 records; 4,252 deaths; 11,506 alive/censored",
      "conditions": "Breed row; alive dogs were censored at study completion.",
      "interpretation": "Use as a UK population median, not a mean, US median, or individual forecast.",
      "fact_ids": [
        "MCM2024-GR",
        "MCM2024-METHOD"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "uk-sex-context",
      "topics": "sex uk",
      "geography": "uk",
      "selection": "context",
      "eyebrow": "Pooled context only",
      "title": "UK all-dog sex comparison",
      "value": "12.7 vs 12.4 years",
      "metric": "Female vs male Kaplan-Meier medians across all included dogs",
      "population": "All breeds and lineages in the UK analysis; not Golden-specific",
      "denominator": "Females: 283,984 / 136,910 deaths; males: 300,750 / 147,824 deaths",
      "conditions": "Pooled across breed, size, lineage and conformation.",
      "interpretation": "Do not convert the pooled 0.3-year gap into a Golden Retriever claim.",
      "fact_ids": [
        "MCM2024-SEX-F",
        "MCM2024-SEX-M"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "na-conditional-sex",
      "topics": "sex metric",
      "geography": "north-america",
      "selection": "conditional",
      "eyebrow": "Conditional modeled medians",
      "title": "Selected North American Goldens",
      "value": "Four conditional estimates",
      "metric": "Modeled median lifespan; 99.79% confidence intervals",
      "population": "Neutered Golden Retrievers in a predominantly US hospital network",
      "denominator": "4,560 dogs; 1,933 recorded deaths",
      "conditions": "Every dog survived to at least 9.5 years and was classified by middle-age body condition.",
      "interpretation": "These are not unconditional male or female breed lifespans and do not prove an intervention effect.",
      "fact_ids": [
        "SALT2019-GR-DESIGN",
        "SALT2019-GR-M-NORMAL",
        "SALT2019-GR-M-OVER",
        "SALT2019-GR-F-NORMAL",
        "SALT2019-GR-F-OVER"
      ],
      "mini_fact_ids": [
        "SALT2019-GR-M-NORMAL",
        "SALT2019-GR-M-OVER",
        "SALT2019-GR-F-NORMAL",
        "SALT2019-GR-F-OVER"
      ],
      "anchor": "male-female"
    },
    {
      "id": "us-grls",
      "topics": "us sex healthspan",
      "geography": "us",
      "selection": "cohort-status",
      "eyebrow": "Longitudinal cohort status",
      "title": "US Golden Retriever Lifetime Study",
      "value": "No representative US median",
      "metric": "Prospective follow-up and a later mortality-model subset",
      "population": "Volunteer US Golden Retriever cohort enrolled early in life",
      "denominator": "3,044 enrolled; 2025 analysis: 2,412 neutered dogs and 775 deaths",
      "conditions": "Volunteer/committed-owner cohort; loss to follow-up; 2025 subset right-censored and externally unvalidated.",
      "interpretation": "The 2025 subset found a female survival association (p=0.002) but no general years gap or US median.",
      "linked_claim": "p=0.002",
      "linked_claim_fact_id": "GRLS2025-SEX",
      "fact_ids": [
        "GRLS2017-BASELINE",
        "GRLS2022-PROFILE",
        "GRLS2025-SEX",
        "GRLS2025-HEALTHSPAN",
        "MAF2026-STATUS"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "english-cream",
      "topics": "cream",
      "geography": "breed-definition",
      "selection": "no-estimate",
      "eyebrow": "Evidence status",
      "title": "English cream modifier",
      "value": "No separate cohort",
      "metric": "Breed identity and coat-color terminology; no lifespan measure",
      "population": "Cream/light Golden Retrievers within one recognized breed",
      "denominator": "Not applicable: the checked source is breed guidance, not a cohort",
      "conditions": "No checked primary cohort isolates English cream Goldens as a longevity population.",
      "interpretation": "Do not claim longer, healthier, or numerically identical lifespan from coat color.",
      "fact_ids": [
        "GRCA-CREAM"
      ],
      "anchor": "english-cream"
    },
    {
      "id": "metric-boundary",
      "topics": "metric uk",
      "geography": "uk",
      "selection": "context",
      "eyebrow": "Metric boundary",
      "title": "Median survival is not mean life expectancy",
      "value": "Different estimands",
      "metric": "Kaplan-Meier median versus hypothetical life-table mean",
      "population": "UK companion dogs in two different study designs",
      "denominator": "Life-table paper: 30,563 deaths; Golden Retriever was not one of 18 breed tables",
      "conditions": "The life-table source explains the mean metric but supplies no Golden Retriever value.",
      "interpretation": "Do not relabel the 13.2-year breed median as an average or life expectancy at birth.",
      "fact_ids": [
        "TENG2022-METRIC",
        "AHREFS-US-AVG"
      ],
      "anchor": "median-vs-mean"
    }
  ],
  "faqs": [
    {
      "question": "What lifespan does the UK Golden Retriever cohort report?",
      "answer": "The checked UK cohort reports Kaplan-Meier median survival of 13.2 years (95% CI 13.1-13.2) from 15,758 Golden Retriever records, including 4,252 deaths. This is a population median, not an average or an individual prediction."
    },
    {
      "question": "Do male and female Golden Retrievers have different lifespans?",
      "answer": "No unconditional male or female Golden Retriever lifespan estimate was found in the checked ledger. A 2025 US analysis observed longer average survival in females but did not report a general years gap; a 2019 North American study published conditional medians only for selected neutered dogs that survived to at least 9.5 years."
    },
    {
      "question": "Do English cream Golden Retrievers live longer?",
      "answer": "No checked cohort supports a separate English cream lifespan. The Golden Retriever Club of America treats cream as part of one Golden Retriever breed and rejects color-based longevity superiority claims."
    },
    {
      "question": "Can this estimate how long my Golden Retriever has left?",
      "answer": "No. Population estimates cannot predict an individual dog's remaining years, death date, or healthy-life duration."
    }
  ],
  "reuse_notes": [
    "Reuse a numeric row only with its geography, study design, denominator, events, censoring and selection limits.",
    "Do not merge values across cohorts or convert medians into means, individual remaining years or healthy-life duration.",
    "The Ahrefs rows are observed display bins for prioritization only, not exact volume or traffic forecasts.",
    "Source licenses and permissions vary; verify the underlying source before redistributing source content beyond factual excerpts.",
    "The original 1400x820 editorial image is not a study participant and must not imply a health or lifespan outcome."
  ]
}
